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What to Do When the Stock Market Tumbles
February 05, 2010 @ 10:27:33 AM EST

Stock market investing is difficult and dangerous in the best of times. When times turn bad and the stock market begins to tumble, the danger levels increase exponentially. Make the wrong move under these circumstances and your entire net worth could be wiped out in no time at all. Years and years of careful savings and investment can dissolve in moments, leaving you stranded and your retirement unsecured.

Of course, there are things you can do when the market starts to turn downwards to protect yourself and your investment portfolio from being ravished and destroyed. That is exactly what I want to talk about in this article today.

Determining that the stock market has turned is almost an art form in itself. Sometimes it's hard to tell exactly when the stock market has turned because stock market volatility is perfectly normal. The stock market might go down today but jump right back up tomorrow. In fact the stock market may go down for several days or even several weeks only to rebound to a higher level than it was before. Determining that the stock market is in a new semi-permanent trending downturn or bear market as they call it is difficult to do.

But if you have determined that the stock market is in a bear downturn here are some things that you can do to protect your portfolio.

The first thing you can do is lighten your holdings as soon as you determine that the market is about to turn down. Don't panic because the market generally won't crash overnight. The bear markets trend downwards for weeks, even months... so you don't have to feel like you should go out and sell all your stocks tomorrow. During this time, though, you should be sure to pay off any margin debt that you have and start to hoard cash if at all possible. Maintaining a strong cash position during these times can become essential.

The next thing to do is identify stocks that you own in your portfolio that are no longer rising. Some people suggest that you sell these stocks immediately, but I prefer to place stop-orders on them instead. When you do this, you continue to own the stocks but if the market starts to trend further downward your broker will automatically sell the stocks at prearranged prices spelled out in your stop order. This way if the market turns up unexpectedly and the stock starts to rise again you'll be able to take advantage of it.

Next if you have excess cash to invest during the beginning of the market downturn be sure to only invest in cash equivalents and highly fungible items such as money market funds and treasury bills... which are short-term treasury bonds. The last thing you want to do is to be investing in stocks as the market is turning downwards.

Finally sell any mutual funds whose net asset value has dropped 5% or more. Many times it's important to get out of mutual funds that have aggressive growth at their core because these are some of the first to turn down in a bear market.

The most important part of a market downturn is getting liquid, or at least as liquid as possible so that you have a strong cash reserve available. Why is this important? Because eventually the market will bottom out at which time you will be able to find incredibly cheap deals for the same stock you used to own, which is now selling at bargain prices. Having cash handy allows you to swoop in and grab a steal of a deal.

Jason Markum has been writing articles online for over thirteen years. When not writing about investing, Jason runs a portable work bench web site where he reviews the best industrial work bench for your shop.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Jason_Markum

Disclaimer…The subject matters expressed above is based purely on technical analysis and personal opinions of the writer. it is not a solicitation to buy or sell.

 

 

 
 
Are you the person for FOREX trading
January 29, 2010 @ 2:35:10 AM EST
I am going to explian to you in a short sweet way what FOREX is how you can improve and make more money, or if your a completely new you can start from scratch. I will suggest a program that i think will benefit the most (I can only say so much in one article) and give you some information on FOREX trading

First of all i would like to start of saying FOREX trading is a HUGE leap. FOREX trading can be very exciting, and it can also be very rewarding. If you know what you are doing. Please notice the BIG word "IF". When ever you are investing your money you should do as much research as you can.

This program can save you lots of time with it step by step guie on FOREX trading. If you want to make your own business hours, or start making more money with in the next month or so with some effort.

The following is going to explain some info on FOREX. FOREX stands for (Foreign Exchange Currency Trading). It is by far the largest trading market in the world today in the year 2010. On Average $1.9 trillion is traded everday in the foreign exchange market. Some people trade $200million to $500million at one time. Obviously that is a HUGE amount and you ont have to have nearly that much money to get started.

WHY? Why does this market have such a big risk? The risk is because the market fluctuates every 3 seconds, THATS 20 times a minute, and over or up to 18,000 times a day. If you stay on top of it and really do your research FOREX can benefit you and help you make money or help you start making money.

There really is so much stuff to learn about this type of trading, you really need to invest in a guide that will help you along the way.

My advice do your research if your still really interested in FOREX then definitely give this program a look.

htt://www.thegreenmoneymachine.com/

Thanks,

Travis

submitted 2010-01-26

Disclaimer…The subject matters expressed above is based purely on technical analysis and personal opinions of the writer. it is not a solicitation to buy or sell.

 

 
 
Confuse where to Invest
January 24, 2010 @ 5:34:08 PM EST
I have recently clearly my lots at sinotechfibre at 0.18 cents and bought ChinaOilfield. (SGX)

Guess it is still to early to cleared my lots in sinotechfib the chart line is still moving up. However i have already made my margin when it dip at 0.145cents.It is still a good chance this counter will move up to 0.195 cent further and there might be a resistance at 0.195 cents.

Why than China Oilfield Technolog crazy me those who bought it few weeks back at 0.155cents to 0.16cents congratulation there are the dare devils,there could easily dispose it for 018 cents now. Myself i am entering a little late at 018 cents on this counter.

Presently their audit accounts shows negative or revenues decreased. However if we look at China as a whole She is hungry for commodities to fuel its growing economy sectors in oil, coal, iron ore,gold are few examples.

Chinaoilfield also have equipment and products that are used in oil recovery There also have book value orders (according to their website) once their technical issues are resolved.

China Companies has recently invested in oil-sands projects in Canada , kazakhstan, Iraq etc.

Looks like even if crude oil dips below 80USD it is a good chance there would invest in oil field equipments.

My target sell at 0.25 to 0.29 cents or hold a while longer. My concern Chinaoilfield might consolidate the shares even with their strong reserves since there also have a business plan to expand their manufacturing plants which is on hold.

Good luck in your trade

ezy

A recent article i picked up
extract :

if you like China, you should also like...

  • Brazil. Its massive amounts of mineral resources, fertile farmland, and oil are perfect complements to what China needs to grow. There’s a reason why Jim Rogers has been flogging Brazilian farmland as one of the best investments for the next couple of decades.
  • Australia. This is one of Ted Peroulakis’s (Options Power Trader) favorite bets for 2010. He says that "Australia is a natural resource powerhouse with large deposits of coal, iron ore, and uranium. On China’s doorstep, it’s perfectly positioned to benefit from its huge neighbor’s modernization efforts."
  • Oil. Imagine how high oil prices will go as the Chinese start buying cars. Ted says they’re moving rapidly in that direction. As a matter of fact, China recently surpassed the United States as the world’s largest passenger vehicle market.
  • Taiwan. If you marry Taiwan’s technology to China’s enormous customer base, you get a breakout market waiting to happen. Once every couple of years, these two countries sign an agreement that gives Taiwan more access to China than it had before. The next one (the signing of an Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement) is expected later this year.  
  • Canada. I shared my thoughts about Canada with you late last year. Canada exports oil, coal, and minerals to China. It has also attracted a ton of Chinese money. Just last month, PetroChina won approval from the Canadian government to buy a stake worth $1.8 billion in two of Alberta’s oil-sands projects.And If You Don’t Like China?

If you don’t like China, it’s probably because its market has been subject to big swings in the last few years...

  • Last year, China’s market was up 74%.
  • In 2008, its market declined 64%.
  • In 2007, it rose 97%.

One way to take advantage of the economy’s growth spurts while sidestepping the fallout when growth stalls is to invest in the dividend globals that have aggressively moved into China.

In Sound Profits’ portfolio of dividend companies, there are five companies rapidly increasing sales in China...

    • The integrated energy company I recommended last month is up 3.7%.
    • The consumer company I recommended last month is up 9.5%.
    • The food company recommended last August is up 13%.
    • The oil company added last July is up 36.2%.
    • And the industrial conglomerate recommended last June is up 23%.

These companies have sales all over the world. If China’s economy goes into a deep freeze, they could feel some of the chilling effects – but just a fraction of the effects investing directly in a China fund or Chinese companies would have on your portfolio.

Invest Safely

Andrew Gordon

Investor's Daily Edge
Email us at: feedback@investorsdailyedge.com

Disclaimer…The subject matters expressed above is based purely on technical analysis and personal opinions of the writer. it is not a solicitation to buy or sell.

 
 
Where to Invest in 2010
January 24, 2010 @ 5:33:08 PM EST

Commodities

I’m extremely bullish on the commodities sector. I expect commodity prices to head higher for two main reasons:

(1) Increasing demand due to a rise in economic activity. Economies around the world are doing much better. The U.S. reported positive GDP growth for the third quarter, so we could be out of the recession. Germany and France could also be coming out of the recession. And the economies of China, Brazil, and India are once again running strong. This will lead to an increase in demand for commodities like oil, copper, grains, etc. A steady supply of commodities is needed to keep the engine of economic growth running.

(2) The prospect of higher inflation. America has a national debt of over $12 trillion. And deficit spending is out of control. I agree with Bob Irish and Andrew Gordon that the government’s policy will be to inflate their way out of this problem. Washington can simply fire up the printing presses and print their financial obligations away. All that extra money in circulation should lead to higher inflation down the road.

Keep in mind that America was not the only country to dump money into its economy in order to save it. Many countries did it. Because of this, many major world currencies are destined to see high levels of inflation. The explosion in global money supply could lead to a decline in the value of all paper money around the globe. Investors everywhere are having less and less confidence in fiat paper money that’s not backed by anything. As a result, they are jumping into commodity investments to protect themselves.

To protect against inflation rearing its ugly head in 2010, you want a portion of your portfolio allocated in commodities.

I suggest you look at energy, agriculture, metals, and even commodity-rich foreign markets.  

Oil is certainly the lifeblood of our society. Gasoline made from crude oil is still the cheapest and most efficient fuel for our vehicles, and demand for gasoline is not going away any time soon. Oil is now an alternative currency to paper money and will rise as the fiat currencies lose their luster. Oil demand is increasing in emerging markets like China and India. Plus, the worldwide supply of oil is running thin and it’s getting harder and more costly to get oil to the consumer. I expect oil prices to head over $100 per barrel in 2010.

I like the prospects for clean energy. This industry includes wind farms, nuclear power plant operators, and solar stocks.  Governments around the world are offering tax breaks and other incentives to encourage clean energy use. This opens up significant potential for investors to profit.

Agriculture prices are poised to blast higher. The world’s population continues to explode and food demand is constantly increasing. The standard of living in developing nations is rising – and that will push food prices even higher. I expect higher prices for food. There will be plenty of opportunities to profit by investing in raw food commodities and the fertilizer producers.

Prices for metals are poised to head higher due to growing demand. The industrial metals (copper, aluminum, and silver) will see strong demand as economic activity picks up. And gold will head higher as people lose faith in paper currencies and turn to gold as an alternative currency. (Remember, gold can’t be produced out of thin air on a printing press.) I expect gold to continue to hit new highs in 2010. I predict that gold will head well over $1,500 and silver will head over $20 per ounce.

There is also an opportunity to take gains in select commodity-rich economies. I like Brazil and Australia. These are just two of the countries that will benefit from a continued bull market in commodities.

Yes, I’m bullish on commodities. But in case the economy weakens or the dollar strengthens, it’s important to diversify your portfolio with other asset classes. That said, utilities, technology, and health care are three additional sectors that I expect to perform extremely well in 2010.

* Utilities

This sector includes companies that deal with the delivery of electricity, gas, and water to customers.

Utilities need considerable infrastructure to operate. So they often hold high levels of debt. Interest rates should remain low well into 2010, and utilities will benefit from the lower borrowing cost.

Investing in the utility sector is considered a non-cyclical defense play because it’s less susceptible to a market selloff. I recommend that you hold utilities in your portfolio because of that and for added diversification.

* Technology

The companies in this space include those that make computers and cell phones as well as those that create software.

Tech was one of the best performing sectors in 2009, and should do exceptionally well into next year too. It will benefit from economic growth, which will boost orders and profit margins.

People are still spending money on technology, even in this difficult economic environment. Tech companies have been cutting costs and building up large cash reserves. The tech sector is quite healthy, indeed.

I expect some of the best plays to involve cutting-edge technology that can change the world. This includes cloud computing, smart phones, and military technology.

* Health Care

This sector includes hospitals, drug manufacturers, and producers of medical products.

Some kind of health care reform is coming soon, and you can profit from it. There will be many winners as a result of this new legislation, like hospitals and pharma companies.

With more Americans getting health insurance coverage, health care use will go up – and so will drug sales. That means higher revenues for the drug makers.

In Conclusion …

So there you have it. In 2010, put your money in commodities, utilities, technology, and health care. I’ll be recommending highly leveraged plays on these sectors in Options Power Trader. My goal is to continue to show my readers 100% or more winners with my options plays.

Best Wishes,

Ted Peroulakis

Email: feedback@investorsdailyedge.com

Disclaimer…The subject matters expressed above is based purely on technical analysis and personal opinions of the writer. it is not a solicitation to buy or sell.

 
     
  NobleTrading Market Update, February 8, 2010  
  The Week Ahead: The markets continued a four week slide, but began to rebound from a low point reached after the employment report was digested showing a still deeply damaged job market. Tech stocks led the way off the low. A relatively quiet reporting period could provide a respite for stocks. Watch Tuesday's Wholesale Trade Inventories, Thursday's Retail Sales and Business Inventories, and Friday's University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment reading.

Stocks to Watch: Auto parts makers were weak compared to the indexes after American Axle & Manufacturing (AXL) provided a disappointing outlook for the year in their Q4 earnings release. TRW Automotive (TRW), Dana Holding (DAN), and Arvinmeritor (ARM) all fell in sympathy. Airgas (ARG) soared to nearly an all time high after a $60 cash tender offer by rival Air Products (APD) which correspondingly dropped. Key earnings reports come from Disney (DIS), Coca Cola (KO), and Pepsi (PEP) later this week.

Special Note: If a near term rebound is starting, then an upside resistance target would be an internal long term trend line on the Dow Industrials that was broken in 2008 at the 9600 level. A steep sell off occurred after to the March '09 low of 6670. The 10 1/2 month rebound retested this line now at the 10,400 level for this year. Having brief success pushing through this resistance in early January, the DOW has once again smashed through this line on increasing volume. An upward push to retest this resistance line (similar to the retest in October '08) would be normal before the bear trend resumed.

Market commentary provided by Barry Ward, registered principal, NobleTrading.com, Inc.

Check out NobleTrading's new earnings calendar, upgrades and downgrades, and analyst coverages.

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